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Warsh Fed Chair takes office today: 6% Q2 inflation forecast puts July rate hike in play. Iran strike cancelled, Musk loses OpenAI lawsuit, Samsung board emergency powers suspected. KPIs: 10Y 4.62% / WTI $102 / Gold $4,576 / KOSPI 7,516.
KOSPI crash -6.12% triple shock: oil surges to $102, Q2 inflation forecast 6%, rate hike cycle returns. US-Iran deadlock, WHO Ebola PHEIC, Nvidia earnings — five things markets need to know.
KOSPI -6.12% plunge. US 30Y yield at 2007 highs. Triple shock from inflation fear, strong dollar, and US-China summit disappointment. BUY: LNG infra, dollar ETFs, defense / SELL: airlines, long bonds, high-PER / KPI: DXY 99.27, WTI $101.16, Gold $4,543.6
Hormuz oil WTI $101.61, S&P500 7,501 all-time high, Cerebras IPO +100%, Bitcoin $82,000. A bifurcated market where energy inflation coexists with the AI rally — full BUY/SELL/WATCH/AVOID action points.
US 30-year yield broke 5% for the first time in 19 years. Iran-war PPI +6% and CPI +3.8% plus a hawkish Fed confirmation have pushed rate-hike odds into the price. KOSPI hit record +2.63% at 7,844.
Iran ceasefire collapse pushed WTI past $101, layering on the April 3.8% CPI shock. Risk assets sold off; 2026 Fed-cut bets erased. The Trump-Xi summit (5/14) is the next pivot.
Trump Xi summit hope pushed KOSPI to a record 7,822 (+4.32%) as the Hormuz blockade kept WTI near $98 and U.S. May consumer sentiment printed an all-time low. Korean market close, May 12, 2026.
Hormuz blockade prolonged — Trump rejects Iran deal, WTI hits $97.90. PIMCO warns of Fed rate hike. Energy inflation meets hawkish pivot in Dual Shock.
Hormuz inflation dilemma — Iran-US clash drives US consumer sentiment to a record low while Fed cut hopes evaporate. KOSPI 7,498 holds as Intel hits ATH on Apple deal.
Hormuz chronic risk — April ceasefire fractures into a permanent regime. Big Tech AI capex $725B vs FCF 10-year low, Anthropic in talks for $1T, KOSPI all-time high with Korea stock-suppression bill, soft ADP and PTJ on Fed cut.